Economy
Every elected president since 1999 has promised mass job creation, from Obasanjo's NEEDS agenda to Tinubu's pledge of 50 million jobs. By the government's own measure, unemployment rose from about 10% in 2015 to 33% by the end of Buhari's term.
Despite strong headline GDP growth in the later years of the term, poverty rates remained stubbornly high and unemployment, particularly among youth, showed little sustained improvement by internationally comparable measures.
The YouWin business plan competition and SURE-P graduate internship scheme created employment for tens of thousands of young Nigerians, but these programmes were too small relative to the scale of new entrants to the labour market each year. NBS unemployment figures rose across most of the term, even accounting for repeated methodology changes that make like-for-like comparison difficult.
Official unemployment rose from roughly 10% in 2015 to 33% by Q4 2020 (NBS methodology). Youth unemployment exceeded 42%. The N-Power programme enrolled about 500,000 graduates in temporary public work, falling far short of demand.
No verifiable progress data published. The Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment expressed confidence at inception. No independent tracking mechanism has been established.
Each entry is one rated promise — follow it to that administration’s full scorecard. Ratings use the four verdicts defined in the methodology.